Welcome to this edition of the CFL Daily Fantasy Breakdown!
Last week was a pretty weird week, as a lot of the favored plays did not come through. This week, we’re going to go back to the drawing board to put together our favorite plays that will hopefully help you make money!
This article will largely be based off the projections available on this site. It is important to note that it will take these projections a few weeks to smooth out. I will go through each position in this article and highlight a few plays I like, and then some others I would stay away from, despite what the projections say. The CFL is a bit of an anomaly at this point, and I don’t think it is fair to use last year’s statistics as a basis for this year. With that said, if you like what you see let us know on Twitter @researchandwin or on Facebook at Research Fantasy. Also, check out our CFL Research Portal. It is very useful in making fantasy decisions.
Bo Levi Mitchell ($10,600) – Calgary Stampeders @ Saskatchewan Rough Riders
Levi made this list last week in the same matchup, and even though he didn’t come through like we thought he would, we will certainly go back to the well this week. The Rough Riders are not a great team at defending the pass, so Mitchell should see ample opportunity to put together a very strong game. He’s my top cash game play on the week. I wouldn’t put too much stock into last week; this is a very good quarterback, and I expect his output to be far closer to the 30 point mark this week than the 20 point mark.
Kevin Glenn ($7,200) – Montreal Alouettes @ Edmonton Eskimos
Glenn isn’t a guy who we normally look to, but the matchup here is just too good to pass up. The Eskimos are the bottom of the league when it comes to defending against the pass, and while Glenn hasn’t exactly been the most exciting player in the league, this matchup warrants at least tournament consideration. I would not be surprised at all if Glenn put together his most solid game of the year this week, and comes at a substantial savings to most of the other starting quarterbacks.
Jerome Messam ($7,500) – Calgary Stampeders @ Saskatchewan Rough Riders
If you are spending up tonight at the running back position, I like the spot for Jerome Messam. He came through last week with his best game of the year, and really the best game for a running back on the year. The Rough Riders are at the bottom of the league against the run, and I think this is a prime spot to use Messam. Vegas has Calgary as the highest scoring team on the week, but they have been wrong A LOT so far. I really like the combo of Messam and Mitchell in tournaments this week, as I think they could both have really big weeks.
Brandon Whitaker ($6,700) – Toronto Argonauts vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Whitaker has been one of the most consistent players in all the league this year, and this should be no different. I expect Toronto to be able to win this game, but I think there could be some hiccups along the way. I think this is a great opportunity to use Whitaker, as he is priced lower than Messam, and should see slightly less ownership. So much of CFL DFS is finding one person with slightly less ownership, and this could certainly be a case.
Adarius Bowman ($10,600) – Edmonton Eskimos vs. Montreal Alouettes
Bowman has been one of the most consistent performers in CFL DFS. He faces a tough matchup here against the Alouettes defense, but Vegas still says they expect Edmonton to score over 30 points, having them come in as the second highest scoring team on the slate. Bowman is the top guy on this team, though Derel Walker does push him week in and week out. I would expect another strong outing here tonight. Despite the odds stating this should be the most lopsided game, I think it will be closer than we think, and Bowman should get more use than expected.
Duron Carter ($9,400) – Montreal Alouettes @ Edmonton Eskimos
Carter continues to turn in strong performance after strong performance. This matchup is one of the best that a team could get, which is why he finds himself on our list tonight. I expected Montreal to give the Eskimos a big run for their money, and if they do, it will be because Carter had a nice game. He’s a slight discount to the Eskimos receivers, but offers somewhat of the same upside. We haven’t seen a monster game out of Carter yet on the year, but this matchup could certainly be a situation where it happens.
Clarence Denmark ($5,200) – Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Toronto Argonatus
This is really a gut pick, but I think it makes sense at the same time. When we play daily fantasy, we want to look for guys who are going to see a lot of touches. With Weston Dressel and Darvin Adams on the shelf, it is guys like Clarence Denmark who have to step up to replace the production. It’s not a sexy pick, and it’s not a safe pick either. It is a high upside for the price pick. If he is able to even come close to the production he saw last week, he’ll be well worth his price.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers ($4,800) – Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Toronto Argonatus
This is based solely off our algorithm’s output. The Blue Bombers aren’t even favored to win this game. This isn’t a situation where they believe they can’t, either. They’ve already got two games over 20 points on defense this week, and I think they could do so again with Logan Kilgore likely to be under center again. The Bombers do make a good matchup for the Argos, but I still favor the Blue Bomber side of the game.