CFB DFS Breakdown (Evening) – Week 2

I was very happy that our picks last week did as well as they did. Yes, we had some that fell apart, but it is very uncommon for any analyst to come up with a list that has all hits and no misses. We know a little bit more this week, but still not enough, about how teams should be playing. There are four slates on Saturday, which is very exciting for me, and each slate will get their own article.

Yesterday, we put out our primetime picks. Today, we will focus on the evening slate from 6:00 – 8:00.

QUARTERBACK

TOP TIER

Quinton Flowers (USF) vs. NIU – $8,300

I am a big fan of Flowers this year, and have him in a number of my season long leagues. This matchup should be one that he is able to take advantage of, as this Northern Illinois team will have trouble containing him. We saw Wyoming of all teams really stick it to them last week, and I believe that USF is a much better team. I’m expecting yet another big game out of Flowers this week.

VALUE TIER

Kenny Hill (TCU) vs. Arkansas – $4,000

This is absolutely nuts. I am curious to see how long it takes for Fanpicks to update their pricing, as we have a number of guys throughout the day who could put up over 40 fantasy points and are still minimum price. TCU is going to be involved in a shootout week in and week out, and without a doubt, this makes Hill an amazing play. He’s my top play at the position this week.

RUNNING BACK

TOP TIER

Aaron Jones (UTEP) vs. Texas – $8,600

Jones is another one of my favorite players in college football, but I do have to warn that this can be a risky play. UTEP doesn’t really play anyone near the caliber of Texas, so it is tough for me to believe that we’ll see another monster performance out of him. On the flip side, though, the Texas defense didn’t look good at all against Notre Dame, and if Jones does get all of those touches, it is likely that he will have a good game. If I’m spending up, this is where my money is going.

VALUE TIER 

Rawleigh Williams III (Arkansas) vs. TCU- $3,400  

All year, it is going to be shootouts for TCU. Last year, we saw plenty of shootouts from Arkansas as well. There is very little question that this game has high score written all over it, and I expect the Arkansas offense to gash TCU on the ground. Williams saw the vast majority of the carries in week one, and I think we will see the same in week 2. He makes an excellent play at this price.

WIDE RECEIVER

TOP TIER

Kenny Golladay (NIU) vs. USF – $6,700

Golladay appears to be the questioned top dog on this offense, and it is a situation that should take place week in and week out. The USF defense won’t be able to answer him on every down, and he has both a high floor and a high ceiling on this slate of games. He is priced far too low for what he should be on a slate like this, and should find his way into your lineups.

Isaiah Ford (Virginia Tech) vs. Tennessee- $6,600

I considered putting Devonte Boyd in here, but ultimately settled on Ford because I expect him to see far more attention. While I think they are both in difficult matchups, I think they should both see a ton of targets, and it won’t be surprising if they account for most of their teams scoring. I’ll give the edge to Ford here as I like the talent surrounding him better than that of Boyd.

VALUE TIER 

Taj Williams (TCU) vs. Arkansas – $2,000  

I don’t know how many people have Taj Williams on their radar last week, but by all means, congratulations if you did. After putting up just a monster game in week 1, we get to use him again at minimum price in this contest. If the game was close last week, you have to imagine that it will be even closer with a step up in opponent this week. I’m looking forward to it, as there should be plenty of points to go around, and I love Williams as a punt option.

Deebo Samuel (South Carolina) vs. Mississippi State – $3,700

It kind of surprises me to see that I am recommending someone from South Carolina here, but the spot makes sense. Mississippi State appears to be every bit of a dumpster fire in the post Dak Prescott era, so I think South Carolina could very well be in this game. Samuel is one of their top options, and, after a year of waiting, he should finally be able to post a breakout game eventually. I think that time is now and he is one of my top cheap plays.

TIGHT END

TOP TIER

Bucky Hodges (Virginia Tech) vs. Tennessee – $4,800

Any time he is on a slate, Hodges is going to be one of the top options at the position. Virginia Tech should be playing from behind through most of the game, despite the fact that Tennessee didn’t look great last weekend. Hodges is reliable and is the number two target for this passing offense behind Isaiah Ford.

VALUE TIER

Ethan Wolfe (Tennessee) vs. Virginia Tech – $3,400

Wolfe does not really have the upside as Hodges, but he is still serviceable here. With a tight end, a lot of the time, we are just hoping that the game flow allows for a visit to the red zone and then they could get looks. I think that is possible this week and Wolfe makes a decent punt at the position.