Best NBA DFS FantasyDraft, FanDuel and DraftKings Picks & Tips – 3/2/17

Welcome to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. These picks are what I consider to be the best play of the day, relative to their price. One of the most important things we must consider in daily fantasy is how many points a player gets per dollar. It helps us identify value plays to pair with studs that we know will produce in order to maximize our potential points in lineups. I also try to identify plays that can be used in either cash games or tournaments. Typically, when I build my cash games, I am looking for players that have the best floor combined with good upside. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please let us know!

Pricing is FantasyDraft/FanDuel/DraftKings

POINT GUARD:

Russell Westbrook (9999/12800/13300) – On a short slate, and in a very good matchup, I just don’t think there is any justification to passing up on Westbrook. I understand that he has to do so much to get value, but I think it’s important to consider that he has been doing it. He’s  a much better play at this point than James Harden, because he is actually coming through with production. Damian Lillard plays no defense, and we are looking at an ideal situation for him. I would put his floor at 60 and I think his upside is near the 80 point mark. Yes, I know he is going to have to do a lot to get there, but if anyone can do it, Westbrook can.

Rajon Rondo (9999/5200/5300) – There are quite a few ways to go at the point guard position tonight, which will certainly make lineup construction very interesting tonight. I am going to look toward Rajon Rondo tonight, as he finally looks like his heart is back into playing basketball. He was the only Bull on Tuesday night who looked like he cared about what was happening on the floor. Curry is going to have to pick up a significant portion of the offensive duty, and already doesn’t play defense. His price didn’t really come up all that much so he should be worth a play again tonight.

SHOOTING GUARD:

Klay Thompson (9999/7000/7200) – It’s weird when you start to look at the season long statistics – but Klay is the one guy who really didn’t lose any shots on the team. The shots given up all came from Steph, Durant and Draymond. I said all that to say this – I think his upside is now pretty significant. The Bulls are a mess as a basketball team. They might have some nice offensive pieces, but with the exception of Rondo, none of them looked like they had any killer instinct at all. I think Klay could see his total approach 40 tonight, and makes a great play in any format.

Devin Booker (9999/6200/6500) – Each time there is a small slate, I feel like it is won because of someone who has been relatively poor in recent games finally busting out. I’m going with Booker for that very reason tonight. The position is pretty bad, in my opinion, and even with that, I think we should be able to see folks stay away from Booker due to his price. I am a big fan of that, and I’ll gladly take him where his price is high in hopes that he will come through in tournaments tonight. He’s getting the minutes, and it’s only a matter of time before things fall into place for him.

SMALL FORWARD:

T.J. Warren (9999/5800/5500) – I think it’s pretty clear that Jimmy Butler will end up being the highest owned at the center position tonight, but I prefer shifting my spending down. It might be irrational, but I don’t want to use a guy that is so expensive and just totally listless. Warren, on the other hand, is getting minutes, and he’s full of hustle. The price is a little more than we’ve really like to pay, but I think he should be able to come through for us. Charlotte isn’t playing defense anymore, either, so he should have all the opportunity he needs to put up a big game.

Andre Iguodala (9999/4800/4900) – I don’t think it’s a horrible strategy to stack the Warriors tonight. I still think most of the Warriors, except for Steph, still have some room for value, and really, he does too, because he can easily put up 50+ fantasy points. He has been shooting like garbage, but that’s another story completely. Iguodala should see more time handling the ball, which is always something that we want to see from a sub $5k small forward. I think the upside is there for a 30 point game, and Chicago will have little hope of stopping him.

POWER FORWARD:

Draymond Green (9999/8300/8000) – There’s only three games, so it’s not too hard to figure out why we have a high amount of players from one team. Green’s price always goes up very quickly when he’s coming out of a slump, because he’s a triple double threat in a matchup like this. Bobby Portis and Nikola Mirotic should not be able to do anything to stop him, so he’s a key play for me tonight. It’s tough for me to say which Warrior I think is the one you need to have in your lineup tonight, but due to his massive upside, I feel like Green might be that guy.

Enes Kanter (9999/5900/5200) – Kanter picked things up right where he left off before punching a chair and breaking his arm. He’s averaging slightly over 30 fantasy points, which he should be able to get here. Opposing power forwards have been able to get over on the Trail Blazers, so I don’t see why tonight will be any different. I don’t think the addition of Taj Gibson really does anything to hurt his value. I want to have him in both formats tonight because I think he’s safe with upside as well.

CENTER:

Frank Kaminsky (9999/6200/7200) – Kaminsky steals feels underpriced in spots tonight, and he gets another plus matchup against the Suns tonight. We just saw Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph eat the Suns alive, and even though Kaminsky isn’t on the same level as those guys, he’s still good enough that he should be able to cross the mid-30’s again tonight. I know Cody Zeller is coming back from injury, but he’s seeing limited minutes, and it would be counter productive to make a lineup switch while Kaminsky is playing this good.

 

Slate Strategy

Honestly, three games is not really what I am looking for, so I will likely be dropping in one lineup into a few tournaments, and spending my night working on other facets of the site. I advise tournaments only tonight.

I think you just need to figure out who you like at the point guard positions and build from there. I can make a case for quite a few of them, so that means we have to make some decisions on sites that are position restrictive like FanDuel. I think once you know what you are doing there, you can build your lineups out.

Situations to Monitor

Oklahoma City – Victor Oladipo has missed the last three games and is headed to be questionable in game number four. If he misses, really it’s just more of the Russell Westbrook show.

Other Options

PG – Stephen Curry, Eric Bledsoe, Kemba Walker, Eric Bledsoe

SG – C.J. McCollum, Dwyane Wade,  Patrick McCaw

SF – Jimmy Butler, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Maurice Harkless

PF – Marvin Williams, Marquese Chriss, Nikola Mirotic

C – Steven Adams, Alan Williams, Jusuf Nurkic

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