Welcome back to another edition of ResearchFantasy’s NBA Breakdown. Tonight, we get a nice 8 game slate to take us out of the work week. I went into the All-Star break on a 20+ day win streak, and have only had 2 nights since the break that I have cashed. Hopefully tonight will break my cold streak.
I have begun to keep track of my results here. I feel like if I am making suggestions, I should have something to back my picks up. Obviously, the cash lineup I play may include people from outside this list, as I am trying to pick players from varying levels of price, but anyone I suggest will make it into one of my 5-10 lineups played per night.
One to my favorites!
John Wall – Wall has not been playing the best basketball over the last three games, at least if you ask him. Tonight, we attempt to put some unimpressive performances out of our minds, and look at his opponent: the 76ers. This team plays no defense, and, additionally, both of these teams play at a high pace. Wall is my favorite high end option at the position tonight.
Mike Conley – Conley’s price is not moving much despite having some good games without Marc Gasol. There is always a risk of blowout when playing the Lakers, but Vegas doesn’t see that happening right now. Conley just put up 43 fantasy points against this same team in 29 minutes a few nights ago, so who is to say he couldn’t do the same thing again with 35 minutes.
Dennis Schroeder – Schroeder is a tournament only option for me, despite hitting value over his past 4. The biggest reason is the fact that he only sees around 20 minutes a night. He has been very efficient with his production, and is a threat to put up a big score if given the chance.
Jordan Clarkson – FanDuel has finally moved Clarkson to the shooting guard position, and though his price is ticking up, should be in a good spot tonight, especially if Tony Allen’s bum knee costs him to miss another game. He has been on a good run over the past few weeks and will look for it to continue tonight against Memphis.
Evan Fournier – Fournier has been playing great basketball, especially since the trade of Tobias Harris. Tonight, Orlando will face off with a New York Knicks team that is not the greatest defensive team and can be sloppy with the ball. Fournier’s price hasn’t gotten prohibitive, and I like to reach value yet again tonight.
JJ Redick – It feels like I have been saying this for a few years now, but the Kings are horrible at defending the 2. They are the worst over the past 3 weeks and over the year, and tonight, sharpshooter J.J. Redick will get his shot. Redick does have a low floor, especially if his shot isn’t falling, but I imagine he should scrape up the 25 points he needs to make value tonight.
Paul George – George is playing in the lowest projected total of the night, but it is still expected to hit 205. I like the matchup here for George, in a game where he should be asked, as usual, to do the majority of the scoring. I NEVER like to trust George in cash games, but you gotta do what you gotta do.
Carmelo Anthony – If you don’t like George, Anthony is a good pivot, in a good matchup against Orlando. Anthony should be a good bet to exceed 40 fantasy points, and has a big upside as well. I don’t see either Oladipo or Fournier being able to stop Anthony, so feel free to plug him in your lineups tonight.
Matt Barnes – After burning fantasy owners a few nights back, Barnes has rebounded nicely, exceeding value by a great deal in his last 2. Tonight, he gets the same team he almost just beat for 40 fantasy points. I do think his production takes a hit of Tony Allen returns tonight, but should still see enough time to make value.
Paul Milsap – Milsap’s play has been off and on in February. He’s had some good matchups too, against the likes up Dallas, Philadelphia, Chicago and Milwaukee. His production has been just about everywhere, randing from 20-52 fantasy points – quiet the range from someone who you would be building a lineup around and not just placing in. Nonetheless, you have to look at the upside of this matchup against a Chicago team that plays fast, and has problems of the defensive end. I don’t know if I am looking his way for cash games, but his upside and lowered price puts him in play for tournaments.
Zach Randolph – Obligatory player vs. Lakers disclaimer. Randolph has not been dominant as all as of late, but since Gasol went out has done his best to come close to hitting value. He averaged about a point a minute in the last matchup against the Lakers, and the hope is that he can equal that production, but see closer to 35 minutes. You could also look to the likes of Aaron Gordon, Myles Turner, Kenneth Faried and Taj Gibson if Randolph isn’t your cup of team.
Brandon Bass – Probably the least sexy option offered thus far, Bass has done a remarkable job of making the most of his playing time. He is not a guy I want to look toward in cash games, but has the potential to come close to hitting 30 fantasy points and allows you to spend up everywhere else.
DeMarcus Cousins – Cousins has been all over the board against the Clippers this year, but he is still a strong options in both formats tonight. I will probably not use him in cash games, and I am debating Nikola’s currently, but will certainly have the big man in several tournament lineups.
Nikola Vucevic – Vucevic has played the Knicks well this season, and even though he is on a back to back, should be a safe option tonight in cash games. I don’t have faith that Robin Lopez will be able to contain him, meaning a big game for the big man can be at hand. Hey, that rhymed!
Nikola Jokic – WARNING: You can’t trust the minutes of any Denver big man. Nonetheless, I still like Nikola tonight against a Maverick’s interior that has been giving up a lot of points to centers over the course of the last month. Jokic has the potential to put up big points in limited minutes, which makes me favor him in tournaments more.
Good luck to everyone! Let’s all win some cash!