2017 Wyndham Championship DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
Congratulations to Justin Thomas on his PGA Championship win. Lord knows if I played him he would have shot 12 over and missed the cut. All jokes aside, I had a pretty solid weekend all things considered, so I hope I can keep moving in the right direction this week.
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Matsuyama – T5 / Casey – T13 / Day – T9 / Finau – T44 / Spieth – T28 / Hoffman – T48 / McIlroy – T22 / Molinari – T2 / Schauffele – MC / Bradley – T33
I think it is pretty safe to say that if I asked you which of these golfers would be closest to the top, the last guy you would have thought would be Molinari. Had he made a few better putts, he would have one. Good on him. Three top tens and one missed cut is not awful, but disappointing results from Finau, Spieth, Hoffman and McIlroy did hurt.
The course will be Sedgefield Country Club. It is no an especially long course, so we are not going in to favor bombers here. It is about accuracy, scoring on Par 4’s, the approach game and since there should be a fair amount of birdies, perhaps it makes sense to look at DK points recently, or if you want birdie or better %. It is important to note that stats are likely not going to take you to the top. Sorry to burst bubbles. I think it is a combination of fit for the course, with some recent form.
Kevin Kisner (17100/9600/11300) – It is interesting to note that my dummy template actually had Kisner listed as the top play from months ago. To me, even though this is our top play, I may avoid it entirely. I would expect the ownership to be pretty high because of how strong he looked both last week and historically here. I cannot imagine him being in a good headspace after his collapse on Sunday. I have seen a lot of chatter on him, and I get that the price is high but still workable, and I do not want any part of it.
Kevin Streelman (14700/6700/8300) – I feel like we have not seen Streelman in awhile, nor does he have a ton of recent history here, only notching a 37th in 2012. He does come in with all top 22nd or above in all our key stats, and even though I am not humping the stats as much this week, it shows that he is a solid enough play. His ownership is likely to be in the mid-range, so there is a benefit in using him.
Ben Martin (15100/6500/8800) – In his two years here, Martin has a missed cut and a 10th place finish – quite the range of outcomes. Much like Streelman, Martin comes in top 21st or better in all our key stats over the last 24 rounds. He is first and second in Approach and Proximity respectively. The cost is fair on him, and I really do not dislike the idea of playing him at what should be reasonable ownership.
Henrik Stenson (17800/9800/11500) – Stenson comes in all top tens in our key stats, except for a 55th in Proximity. That is most likely why he is the highest priced player this week. He could easily win this thing, despite his last appearance in the last five years just being a missed cut. I will not be using him in cash games, but there is a major appeal to using him in tournaments, considering I think Kisner sees the higher ownership.
Bud Cauley (15700/7900/9200) – Another player with a variety of different results, Cauley enters with a 10th place finish, two missed cuts and a 3rd in his last four trips here. That in itself lets you know he makes a great tournament option. Top 24 in all our key stats this week, but no higher than 10, Cauley appears to have all the tools from both a statistical perspective and a history perspective to get things done this week.
Chez Reavie (14900/7500/8100) – My favorite play this week? My boy Chez Reavie. Take one look at his last five years here. Go ahead, I dare you: MC/MC/MC/58.That is enough to scare most people off of him I hope. He is in amazing form right now, even staying somewhat into the thick of things this past weekend, or at least on the right side of even for most of the weekend. He is top 11 or better in all our stats, and an astonishing 5/6 top 5s, including first in Proximity in this field over the last 24 rounds. I am willing to bet that in a weak field, Reavie’s roll continues and we end up having a new champ here.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Ryan Moore: I should have just put Kisner here, but I am tired, almost just started writing about Ian Kinsler because I got confused and just plain do not feel like changing anything. Moore may not be super high owned, but I have heard some big PGA names talking him up. Some of his stats look good here, but he is downright bad right now in both Tee to Green and Par 4 Scoring, with the latter being the bigger issue. I am fine to pass on him, and I highly doubt I take any ownership at all.
Overall Top 25
1 – Kevin Kisner
2 – Kevin Streelman
3 – Ben Martin
4 – Henrik Stenson
5 – Bud Cauley
6 – Chez Reavie
7 – Webb Simpson
8 – Kyle Stanley
9 – Byeong-Hun An
10 – Jason Dufner
11 – Chesson Headley
12 – James Hahn
13 – Shane Lowry
14 – Bill Haas
15 – Danny Lee
16 – Kevin Na
17 – Lucas Glover
18 – Tyrone Van Aswegan
19 – Daniel Summerhayes
20 – Keegan Bradley
21 – Russell Knox
22 – Scott Stallings
23 – Grayson Murray
24 – Harris English
25 – Robert Streb
Thanks for reading!