2017 Travelers Championship DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
I don’t even want to talk about The US Open. For me, it might have been the single worst DFS event ever. Nothing I tried worked out, and most of the guys that we wanted to be bullish with failed to make the cut. The good news is, though, that this week is absolutely going to be better!
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Johnson – MC / Rahm – MC / Pieters – MC/ Spieth – T35 / Scott – MC / Garcia – T21 / Day – MC / Oosthsiuezen – T23 / Dufner – MC / Koepka – Winner
Literally – what the f*ck? Six of ten golfers missing the cut would make sense if these weren’t amongst the top golfers in the world! We did hit on Koepka, but still. This was a bloodbath for our ranking systems. The course was only hard apparently for talented golfers. Trey Mullinax? ARE YOU SERIOUS! Anyway, it is what it is. We could get mad (I have been) because of it, or we can move on. I choose to move on.
This tournament will be help at TPC River Highland’s, which is one of the shorter courses on the tour. Lots of birdies are typically made here. One thing that I noticed is that the last three winners here have finished first in Par 4 Scoring, so that is something I will weigh heavily. In addition to that, I will look at things such as Bogey Avoidance and Birdie or Better %. I feel confident that this week will allow us to forget all about The US Open.
Justin Thomas (17600/9800/10200) – I debated a bit about how I wanted to approach this. Much like last week, our model views this field as being very top heavy. For The US Open, I made sure to put tiered plays into effect. That didn’t work, so I’m back to just listing the top 6 guys in our model. Don’t worry, though. Our top 25 below has a lot of potential value in it. Thomas is coming off scoring the lowest round in US Open history, and now takes to a course where he just finished in third. Sure, he missed the cut the year before, but I’m mostly looking at how he is playing coming in. He ranks out first in Par 4 Scoring and Birdie or Better %, and makes a ton of sense to make it into your tournament lineups this week. I’ll probably use him in my cash games as well.
Jordan Spieth (18700/10100/11400) – Spieth hasn’t played in this tournament before, but after failing to impress at The US Open, is going to give it a go this week. Spieth is top 10 in 4 out of the 6 stats we are heavily weighing for this tournament, so he’s a no brainer. If you can fit both he and Thomas in your cash games, you could be in a great spot. I’m expecting big things from Spieth this weekend, including his ownership. If that is something you don’t like, you should probably avoid him.
Marc Leishman (15900/8300/9300) – If you want to save a little bit of cash without risking too much quite frankly, Leishman looks to be a guy built for this course. He’s had very good finishes over the years here, including winning in 2011. Furthermore, his course stats are all top 30, which is amazing. He’s looking like a guy you can build some teams around this week and have little concern about him missing the cut. I really hope I didn’t just seal his fate.
Daniel Berger (15900/8700/9100) – Berger made it back to back victories at the Memorial prior to the US Open, and now gets to return to a course and tournament where he finished 5th in his only appearance. While his stats aren’t as exemplary as Leishman’s, he checks in top 50 in all of our key stats. I think both he and Leishman could be great guys to build your teams around this week, and both have clearly had success and aren’t playing poorly to boot.
Paul Casey (16500/9400/9700) – Paul Casey is another guy who sets up very well for this course. In fact, the only thing he just doesn’t do well is putt. If he can get that under control this weekend, he will be a serious contender. He’s finished 17th and 2nd in his most recent appearances at this course, so he has shown that he can get things done. He’s another pricier option, but I fully believe he’ll be there this weekend.
Tony Finau (15600/8400/8700) – Embarrassingly, I totally forgot about Finau this past weekend. He’s a guy I play so much, but somehow I just forgot about him. I won’t this week. He’s posted back to back 25th finishes here, and while we want a little more than that, I do feel like his game has taken a step ahead this year. If you discount his horrible putting, the other five stats are no lower than 22nd, with three falling in the top 10. He’s another great cash game play.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Byeong Hun An: I really wanted to just call this section “the cheaper guys”, because I think that’s where things will separate the pack. BHA is a guy that, until last week, made every cut, a perfect 13/13. I expect him to get back on the horse this week, and so will just about everyone else. His ability to make birdies will go a long way, and if he misses the cut with the ownership percentage he is likely to claim, it will swing tournaments quite a bit.
Overall Top 25
1 – Justin Thomas
2 – Jordan Spieth
3 – Marc Leishman
4 – Daniel Berger
5 – Paul Casey
6 – Tony Finau
7 – Brian Harman
8 – Rory McIlroy
9 – Graham DeLaet
10 – Kyle Stanley
11 – Branden Steele
12 – Lucas Glover
13 – Jamie Lovemark
14 – Emiliano Grillio
15 – Byeong Hun An
16 – Brandt Snedeker
17 – Keegan Bradley
18 – Charlie Hoffman
19 – Jim Herman
20 – Chez Reavie
21 – Xander Schauffele
22 – Webb Simpson
23 – Jason Day
24 – Bud Cauley
25 – Kevin Tway
Thanks for reading!