2017 RBC Heritage DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
The Master’s was certainly everything we thought it would be and more! It’s going to be hard to follow, but they will try their best at the RBC Heritage this weekend
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Johnson – WD/ McIlroy – T7 / Matsuyama – T11 / Spieth – T11 / Fowler – T11 / Garcia – Winner / Thomas – T22 / Rose – 2 / Henley – T11 / Fisher – T41
I’m not going to complain about our top 10, minus the Johnson withdraw, making cut, and the vast majority in the top 25, as well as the winner and runner up. Fisher made it so high because he had no course history, but his stats were the best for the course short of DJ. He didn’t do anything overly special, but at his price, certainly didn’t kill. Like Sam Hinkie says, trust the process.
This week poses and interesting course and field. We won’t really have any of the big named golfers, as they mentally unwind after the biggest tournament of the year. That isn’t to say that the field is devoid of talented golfers though. The course itself is coming up on 50-years old and is a 7,099-yard par 71 course. The fairways are narrow, and you will need to be able to drive the ball accurately to position your second shot to put yourself into birdie position. The course is filled with tons of trees, which can be a major issue if your shot is off. In addition to driving accuracy, greens in regulation, putting, scrambling and course history will be considered as key stats.
This week we will go back to listing out our top 6 golfers for the week, according to our PGA model, which I promise, will be coming soon to ResearchFantasy!
Kevin Kisner (19500/8400/9700) – This is certainly an interesting week for things, and I am going to be interesting to see how ownership falls. Course history is something I’m heavily considering, and Kisner has been decent in that area – 69th last year, 2nd in 2015 and 38th in 2014. That isn’t bad, but it isn’t great. Well, the second place is, but you’d like to see a more consistent trend. He mainly finds himself here due to excelling in several of the key stat categories, most specifically Driving Accuracy, SG: Putting and Scrambling. He is also 33rd in recent form, which is something I like to consider as well. He’s got the third highest odds to win. I love the price, especially on FanDuel, and he’ll be in a ton of my lineups this weekend.
Jim Furyk (19100/9200/7900) – Furyk is here specifically because of his course history. While he didn’t compete last year, he won this event in 2015, finished 7th in 2014, 42nd in 2013 and 8th in 2012. That’s some great history right there! His Driving Accuracy is Top 5, SG: Putting is 16th and Scramblin is 41st. He hasn’t been in good recent form, but with the combination of stats and terrific course history, it’s hard for me not to look his way this weekend.
Jason Dufner (19100/8300/8500) – Dufner is another guy with solid, yet unspectacular course history here. He’s made the cut the last four times he’s played here, but all of his finishes fall between 24-54. He’s a guy that might not take you to the top, but should be there over the weekend, making him a good option for cash games. His stats, outside of Greens in Regulation fall between 25th and 48th, and his current form is 31st, showing a solid run going into the event.
Pat Perez (18500/7200/8100) – Pat Perez is the best of all worlds: great course history, great stats for this event and an attractive price across the board. Perez finished 26th in 2015, and had back to back 18th place finishes the two years prior. His recent form doesn’t look the great, but he looked good in the Master’s, and that’s something I will give him for tonight. The price will likely yield high ownership on FanDuel, but he’ll still be someone who makes a lot of my lineups.
Matt Kuchar (21300/10000/11500) – I think Kuchar is likely to be either the most popular play or the most predicted to win. It’s tough not to consider him when he’s managed three top ten finishes in the past three years at this course. His stats are all fine, except in Greens in Regulation, which seems to be common amongst all of our top plays. He’s the guy I’ll probably be starting my cash games out with, and there is enough value to use him in tournaments as well.
Adam Hadwin (19200/8400/8800) – Hadwin has two trips here: he missed the cut in 2015, but managed to finish 30th in play last year. His recent form has been very good, including making it until the weekend at a tough Augusta course on his first go around. His putting and scrambling, both top ten on tour this year, lead his stats, and his Driving Accuracy and Greens in Regulation don’t did below 65th, making him one of the more well-rounded statistical plays on the slate.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
No One: The past few weeks, we’ve had guys who were likely to see high ownership because of ridiculous pricing. This week, I’m just not seeing it. It could be any of the guys with strong course history, but I think this week will see spread out ownership.
Overall Top 25
1 – Kevin Kisner
2 – Jim Furyk
3 – Jason Dufner
4 – Pat Perez
5 – Matt Kuchar
6 – Adam Hadwin
7 – Marc Leishman
8 – Kyle Stanley
9 – John Peterson
10 – Martin Laird
11 – Billy Horschel
12 – Bill Haas
13 – Vaughn Taylor
14 – Chris Kirk
15 – Lucas Glover
16 – Brandt Snedeker
17 – Francesco Molinari
18 – William McGirt
19 – Chez Reavie
20 – Russell Henley
21 – Michael Thompson
22 – Graeme McDowell
23 – Luke List
24 – Jim Herman
25 – Russell Knox
Thanks for reading!