2017 RBC Canadian Open DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
The British Open had a really amazing finish, and a lot of highlights that come from it as well. We were right on the spot with calling Jordan Spieth as the winner, and also had Rory ranked pretty high as well.
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Berger – T27 / Spieth – WINNER / McIlroy – T4 / Casey – T11 / Fowler – T22 / Mickelson – MC / Kuchar – 2 / Leishman – T6 / Finau – T27 / Pieters – T44
Honestly, I was very happy with how everything played out this week. I would have loved to get Mickelson through the cut, but to land the winner and three other top tens, not to mention a T11 in the mix is great. It is especially great because it was the first week we retooled our projection software and it produced some solid results. I hope that another week will give us an even better result.
This week’s event will come from the Glen Abbey Golf Club in Canada. It is a 7252 yard, Par 72 course that should allow for some pretty high scoring, unless the wind gets going which could drop scores somewhat. I am not going into this planning on there being tough weather, but it is something you should be paying attention to going into the event. There are a few Strokes Gained stats I like this week, including Tee to Green, Putting and Approaching the Green. The field is not what I thought it was going to be coming off an Open, so that should make for a fun event this weekend.
Danny Lee (15500/8400/8000) – The last we heard from Danny Lee, he was withdrawing from I believe it was the John Deere Classic. Don’t quote me on that, but the point still is, he withdrew with huge ownership after he had been coasting for a few weeks. His returns here have not been over the top or anything, but they haven’t been poor either. Over his last 12 rounds, Lee is top ten in SG: Tee to Green, Birdies Gained, SG: Approach and Greens in Regulation. He is also at the top of DraftKings points as well. As long as his putter is working, I think Lee should be a top tier pick this week.
Chez Reavie (15200/6600/7500) – Full disclosure: Chez Reavie just always seems to come through for me. When he is on, he is on. His profile lately mirrors Danny Lee, sitting in the top ten in those same four stats in his last 12 rounds. He is top ten in DraftKings points as well. He does not strike me as someone who will see high ownership, but I could be wrong, as I do think that we will see big ownership numbers on both DJ and Matt Kuchar. I like how Reavie profiles here, and he will make a bunch of my lineups.
Patrick Cantlay (15800/7200/8100) – Over his last 12 rounds, basically the only weakness in Cantlay’s game has been his putter. While I do think there is a good chance that will come into play this weekend, I do not think it will be the prevailing reason someone wins or loses. 2/3 winners at this course have been top 10 in that stat, but it has not been a constant. It also is not to say that Cantlay could not get hot. Anyway, he fits the profile of this course well, and is another of my favorites this weekend.
Matt Kuchar (18200/10100/11400) – Kuchar’s last four appearances here have been top 10 finishes. I think the biggest question here for Kuchar is how emotionally drained he will be after last weekend’s close call. His stats actually are not the top of the class, like some of the other guys we have mentioned thus far. That does not mean he cannot do well here. He is going into this event in great form, and I will have a lot of exposure to him this weekend.
Harris English (14300/7000/8400) – In his only appearance here in the last 5 years, English missed the cut. That not withstanding, he is top 25 or better, including two top tens in birdies gained and approach. His price does seem a little rich, which from a game theory perspective can work to your advantage. If players think his price is too high and his ownership drops low and he outplays the field, you essentially have lightening in a bottle.
Tony Finau (16200/9200/9500) – Tony Finau should be able to win this tournament, unless Tony Finau gets in his own way, which he always seems to do. At his price, the results at this course have been unspectacular. You do not pay up to get a guy who finishes between 22nd and 70th. His stats are a match for this course, and he is one of the overall superior talent. Other than SG: Approach, all of his stats are top 20 in his last 12 rounds. There is risk to it, but this could finally be the one he takes down.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Dustin Johnson: Ironically, DJ comes in as our #7 golfer this week, but if he is on, which he has not been, he could end up feasting here. In my opinion, there is no way that you totally fade him. I think that you can play it smart and go underweight with him, but I do not think a full fade is worthwhile. If we hear about a golfer going out and completely dominating the field, it will likely be DJ.
Overall Top 25
1 – Danny Lee
2 – Chez Reavie
3 – Patrick Cantlay
4 – Matt Kuchar
5 – Harris English
6 – Tony Finau
7 – Dustin Johnson
8 – Chad Campbell
9 – Shane Lowry
10 – Daniel Summerhayes
11 – Shane Lowry
12 – Anirban Lahiri
13 – Luke List
14 – Andres Romero
15 – Ian Poultier
16 – Keegan Bradley
17 – Kelly Kraft
18 – Stewart Cink
19 – Gary Woodland
20 – Trey Mullinax
21 – Scott Stalings
22 – Patrick Rodgers
23 – Jared du Toit
24 – Kevin Chappell
25 – Jason Kokrak
Thanks for reading!