2017 Quicken Loans National DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
The Travelers Championship was a fun tournament with a lot of scoring and a great finish, with Jordan Spieth taking things home. Unfortunately, Justin Thomas was a terrible disappointment.
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Thomas – MC / Spieth – WIN / Lieshman – T17 / Berger – 2 / Casey – T5 / Finau – T17 / Harman – T35 / McIlroy – T17 / DeLaet – T26 / Stanley – T57
So, had Justin Thomas been an actual golfer and had the capabilities to make the cut in a tournament he should have dominated, these finishes would look impeccable. Unfortunately, when your most highly touted golfer misses the cut, it basically makes everything that comes after it look less exciting.
The tournament goes to TPC Potomac for the first time. There were two web.com tournaments here in 2013 and 2012, and the pros didn’t like the course too much. It had some fixes made and now sits as a 7,124 yard par 70 course. It isn’t a high scoring course, as I believe the winners of those tournaments were -7 and -6 respectively. Scrambling is something I am going to consider quite a bit this week, as well as good driving percentage and Par 4 scoring to name a few.
Rickie Fowler (19100/10200/12000) – Even though Fowler pops as our top play in our model, I just can’t help but feeling like this is another let down spot. He definitely checks out favorably in all of our key stats, and I will definitely have some ownership of him, but like I said, I felt this way before and he fell apart. Still, this is a very weak field, and I could see him running through this tournament like Spieth last week, so that will keep him in my lineups.
Kyle Stanley (15300/7000/7600) – Kyle Stanley has been making cuts lately, but just isn’t contending. I expect that to change this week. In our key stats, he is top 4 in three of them, including SG: Approach, Proximity to the Hole and Good Drive %. He is no lower than 61st, which comes in scrambling, which just happens to be my favorite stat this week. Still, I think he should be able to get the job done here, and I would not be surprised to see him in the mix on Sunday.
Brendan Steele (16300/8800/8900) – Steele is a cut maker, and he is a guy who I know no issues using in my cash games this week. His key stat is 7th in Par 4 Scoring, and he comes in no lower than 43rd in Good Driver %. This could be a big week for him, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see his name at the top of the leaderboards at some point this weekend. His price is very nice, and I want to have him in several lineups this week.
Justin Thomas (18000/9700/10900) – Admittedly, I hate Justin Thomas right now after he destroyed what could have been several top lineups of mine last weekend, but you have to move on quick in DFS. He’s first in Par 4 Scoring and Par 4 Birdie or Better %, but he does not come in very high with the Scrambling stat this week at 104th. He obviously isn’t going to be someone who makes it into my cash game lineups, but I’ll have exposure to him in tournaments.
Lucas Glover (13100/6200/6900) – Glover is WAAAAAAAAAAY down there on the pricing list, but ultimately, he does look like someone who is built for a course like this. He’s 10th in Good Driver % and his worst stat is 88th in Scrambling. There is nothing but upside for a player in this range, and in tournaments, he makes an excellent play. He’s not someone I can see winning this, but I think he could round out a lineup that could go to the top.
Bill Haas (16400/8400/9500) – As someone who has dominated this tournament in recent years, he’ll likely be very popular, despite the fact that this is going to be played on a different course. He’s 7th in Scrambling, and his low stat is 119th in Par 4 Birdie or Better %. He’s priced far higher than he’ll be on anything but a tournament with a weak field. I’m leaning toward using him a lot this week, but I can certainly see the merit in fading him as he should carry big ownership.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Patrick Reed: With such a weak field, it will likely drive a high amount of ownership to Reed. He’s been playing very well as of late, and isn’t someone who I’m going to write off of my radar, despite the fact that he ranks as our 51st ranked golfer this week. With that said, he’s consistently ranked low but has put up bigger weeks, so it could be that he’s outplaying year long stats. This, along with Haas, is one of the better plays in tournaments to play off of if you are looking to gain an edge in tournaments, but if he has a big week, you’ll be cooked without him.
Overall Top 25
1 – Rickie Fowler
2 – Kyle Stanley
3 – Branden Steele
4 – Justin Thomas
5 – Lucas Glover
6 – Bill Haas
7 – Kevin Na
8 – Billy Horschel
9 – Graham DeLaet
10 – Keegan Bradley
11 – Charles Howell III
12 – Tony Finau
13 – Kevin Streelamn
14 – Vaughn Taylor
15 – Adam Hadwin
16 – Jim Herman
17 – David Lingmerth
18 – Marc Leishman
19 – James Hahn
20 – Chris Kirk
21 – Bud Cauley
22 – Russell Henley
23 – Martin Laird
24 – Danny Lee
25 – Luke List
Thanks for reading!