2017 Northern Trust DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
No question about it: The Wyndham Championship was an absolute disaster for me. I have not really looked at where our rankings come in at, but I took some advice that I should not have from a crappy service from CBS and landed with three donkeys I would have never used if not for them and their Xperts. I will not even dignify them by spelling it correctly. I will give it the angsty teenager spelling version.
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Kisner – T42 / Streelman – T72 / Martin – DQ / Stenson – WIN / Cauley – T42 / Reavie – T37 / Simpson – 3 / Stanley – MC / An – MC / Dufner – T14
So, typically you would be happy if your list of ten golfers managed the winner and a third place finish, but, outside of Dufner, everyone else basically SUCKED. Benny An was miserable and all the others were middling at best. I did specifically mention that Kisner was someone I had no interest in because of the come down from losing a major event, but outside of that, this was a bad, bad week.
This is an interesting week, as the playoffs take the field to Glen Oaks Golf Club in Old Westbury, New York. This course is not one that is regularly on tour, which will make things very interesting. I have heard that Augusta is somewhat of a comparison, but ultimately, each course has its own identity. There are 6 Par 4’s between 400-450 yards, so that is something that will weigh in heavily for me, as that represents 33% of the course. There are only two Par 5 holes, one at 540 and one at 625, so certainly nothing that we can draw anything from. The four Par 3’s additionally have different profiles.
Jordan Spieth (18200/9900/11200) – Spieth is always someone you can consider when building your DFS lineups, and will likely be a staple of my cash game lineups this week. He is top sixteen in five of our six stats, including four top tens. His worst stat is 44th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450. This is a tournament he could certainly win, and I think you could do a lot worse than him this weekend.
Paul Casey (15900/9000/9000) – Casey is the biggest let down artist on tour, but I am not adverse to using him this week. He has made the cut every time he has played here in the last 5 years, finishing top 40 each time. The downside is that he has never finished higher than 22nd. He is first in Bogey Avoidance and second in Greens in Regulation over the last 24 rounds, and I think that will help him go a long way here.
Matt Kuchar (15800/8600/8700) – Kuchar has just been there in pretty much every big situation as of late. He is a hoverer… a word I think I might have made up just now. He is top 12 in four of our key stats, including 12th in that Par 4 scoring metric I like and 3rd in Strokes Gained Around the Green. He is someone I think could easily take this down, and I am going to use him in both cash games and tournaments.
Francesco Molinari (14800/7000/7600) – I am very curious to see the ownership on Molinari at this price after a fantastic finish at the PGA Championship. Molinari is top 30 in all of our key stats this week, including four top tens. He is 8th in Par 4 Scoring 400-450 and 2nd in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green. He should be able to handle himself on this course, and a top 20 finish would make him valuable this week.
Ian Poultier (13900/6300/7000) – Buried way down on the list this week is Ian Poultier. He looked pretty good the last time we saw him, and I do think he fits this course pretty well. He is second in Par 4 Scoring 400-450, 7th in both Bogey Avoidance and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and 8th Around the Greens. If he can keep this play going, he should be in for a big week.
Kevin Chappell (14500/6200/7700) – Chappel is just a well rounded player when it comes to this course. He is 10th in both Tee to Green and Par 4 Scoring 400-450. He is not someone I can see winning here, but I could see him doing enough to make him a good play this week.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Hideki Matsuyama: The ownership is going to be sky high. If he does not pull through with a top 5 finish, it is going to make cashing for big money very difficult. Fortunately, he has been a monster as of late. It is not hard to imagine that very scenario happening. In cash games, he might be the right route to go, but in tournaments, I can see the merit for going underweight.
Overall Top 25
1 – Jordan Spieth
2 – Paul Casey
3 – Matt Kuchar
4 – Francesco Molinari
5 – Ian Poultier
6 – Kevin Chappell
7 – Dustin Johnson
8 – Hideki Matsuyama
9 – Rory McIlroy
10 – Tony Finau
11 – Kevin Streelman
12 – Chez Reavie
13 – Bud Cauley
14 – Chad Campbell
15 – Charley Hoffman
16 – Webb Simpson
17 – Steve Stricker
18 – Jason Day
19 – James Hahn
20 – Rickie Fowler
21 – Justin Thomas
22 – Kevin Kisner
23 – Louis Oothsuizen
24 – Zach Johnson
25 – Jamie Lovemark
Thanks for reading!