2017 Dell Technologies Championship DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
Last week was fun playing on a new course, and the playoffs kicked off with a playoff between Jordan Spieth, who we predicted to win, and Dustin Johnson. Johnson managed to pull it out and really looks to be in great form.
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Spieth – 2 / Casey – 5 / Kuchar – 10 / Molinari – MC / Poultier – 66 / Chappell – T6 / Johnson – WIN / Matsuyama – MC / McIlroy – T34 / Finau – T54
Five top fives, including the winner and runner up certainly is not something to shy away from. Yes, I would have liked to see more from our missed cuts and the others in the double digits, but it was a solid enough week nonetheless. This week should make for a better slate, as we have been to TPC Boston quite a few times.
TPC Boston sits as a Par 71 7342 yard course that basically gets mildly redone every year before this event. We do not have a lot of holes in one size range like we did last week with the Par 4 400-450’s, but history has shown Par 3 Scoring and Tee to Green to be the top stats in winners. It is important to note that just because a golfer is 1st in the rankings going into the event that he will be the #1 golfer in the rankings for a particular stat that week. It is important to remember that these are humans and things will happen.
Jordan Spieth (19000/10000/12100) – Spieth was so close to winning everything last week, and I would have to imagine he will come close to doing it again this week. He is first in Tee to Green and Proximity over the last 24 rounds, and has some success at TPC Boston over the course of his career. Ownership at the top once again should be spread out, and I think you may want to go overweight on Spieth this weekend.
Rickie Fowler (17400/9000/9700) – Fowler won here in 2015, and playing how he is right now, it would not be shocking to see him take it down again this weekend. He has been amongst the best in golf over the last few months and I do not think he has reached his upside yet. His putting has been driving his success, and on this course, that can certainly lead to a winner. He is my pick this week.
Louis Oothsuizen (15900/8100/9100) – Louis Oothsuizen is more expensive than I would like for him to be, but it is hard to ignore how good he has been over the last few weeks. On top of that, he might in fact have the best course history at TPC Boston. He is another guy who is red hot with the putter, which could be bad if things on that end go downhill. He is someone I am likely to build my teams around and hope that the hot hand continues.
Adam Scott (15900/8600/7900) – Scott has not been overly sharp lately, but this still feels like a great price for him. He is another guy with solid course history here, and his play has been turning around as well, which is always a positive sign. He is second in Par 3 scoring, and with four Par 3’s on this course, that could come in to play. He is an all upside play at this price.
Patrick Cantlay (14400/6600/7200) – I would look for Cantlay to take over the high ownership position that we saw Tony Finau with last week after he finished better. He has not played here before, but he does have some solid stats, including 12th in Bogey Avoidance and 19th in Tee to Green. I think he makes a solid cash game play, and he also makes a player to avoid in tournaments if his ownership is projected to be high.
Russell Knox (12100/5600/7100) – Knox is on here because he is dirt cheap and has terrific history here at TPC Boston. Has he been good lately? No. He has finished in the top 26 in three straight trips here, so he clearly has a lay of the land going to his advantage. He is on my radar in tournaments only, but the results have been there.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Dustin Johnson/Hideki Matsuyama: Recency bias could certainly end up playing a big role in how ownership pans out. Coming off a big win and playing very well, DJ should have a ton of ownership. Conversely, after the heartbreaking missed cut, it is possible that Hideki sees reduced ownership. These are two situations you can certainly take advantage of in tournaments.
Overall Top 25
1 – Jordan Spieth
2 – Dustin Johnson
3 – Rickie Fowler
4 – Paul Casey
5 – Hideki Matsuyama
6 – Adam Scott
7 – Louis Oothsuizen
8 – Matt Kuchar
9 – Jason Day
10 – Webb Simpson
11 – Jon Rahm
12 – Graham DeLaet
13 – Xander Schauffele
14 – Kevin Chappell
15 – Daniel Berger
16 – Rory McIlroy
17 – Justin Thomas
18 – Patrick Cantlay
19 – Patrick Reed
20 – Francesco Molinari
21 – Charley Hoffman
22 – Ian Poultier
23 – Zach Johnson
24 – Chez Reavie
25 – Sergio Garcia
Thanks for reading!