2017 AT&T Byron Nelson DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
The PLAYERS Championship was unquestionably one of the most interesting we’ve seen. There were a number of epic meltdowns on Sunday, and the winner was someone that I don’t think too many players would have seen coming. If this week is the same, we are in for one crazy ride!
Let’s check in with our top 10 from last week to see how they did:
Rahm – T72 / Thomas – T75 / Johnson – T12 / McIlroy – T35 / Fowler – T60 / Matsuyama – T22 / Molinari – T6 / Garcia – T30 / Perez – T22 / Leishman – MC
The good news is that 9/10 of our golfers made the cut, which is an improvement on the previous two weeks. I don’t think we can really consider it bad news that so many finished poorly, as this was just a crazy event, and most of these golfers were very highly owned.
The AT&T Bryon Nelson [that’s it? No championship or tournament or anything?] is held at TPC Four seasons in Dallas, Texas. It is an 18-hole, par-70 course that measures out at 7,166 yards. There was a recent redesign to make the course more challenging, so it will be interesting to see if that has any impact on golfers.
This week we will go back to listing out our top 6 golfers for the week, according to our PGA model, which I promise, will be coming soon to ResearchFantasy!
Dustin Johnson (20700/11800/12500) – What can you really say about Dustin Johnson right now? He’s scorching hot. I know the finish doesn’t look great last weekend, but considering how much better he was than in years past, it’s worth noting. He’s top 20 in all of our core stats, and has two top ten finishes here in the last 3 years. He could certainly win this tournament, and will be someone that makes his way into a pretty good amount of my lineups.
Tony Finau (16000/7700/9200) – Finau seems overpriced on DraftKings until considering how well his game fits this course. If you need any confirmation, the 12th and 10th place finishes in back to back years will show you he’s serious. His course stats are pretty much on par with DJ’s, and the only real poor stat is SG: Putting, where he hasn’t been great. I think I’ll have a pretty high ownership percentage on him this weekend.
Jordan Spieth (18400/10500/10800) – This article is intended to show who pops in our models. That is why very often you’ll see a lot of the bigger names. I guess the point I’m driving at here is that even though Spieth comes in as our 3rd ranked golfer, it doesn’t mean that is where my ownership will go. Frankly, I am not interested in paying up this high for someone who hasn’t had a ton of success here. My ownership position on him will be low, but because that will be a popular sentiment, he will be a solid tournament option.
Russell Henley (16000/7500/8300) – Russell Henley has been playing very good golf as of late, and that certainly does count for something. I’m wondering how his missed cut last year will affect DFS players. It isn’t going to weigh too highly in my decision making. All of his relevant stats are top 25, and as I said already, his recent form is very strong. He makes a nice play in any format.
Graham DeLaet (14700/6100/7600) – DeLaet has been very strong here, aside from his missed cut last year. As we saw last week, though, things can get a bit crazy in the world of golf now and then. His stats aren’t as good as a lot of the golfers above him, but they also aren’t very bad either. I think he could come through with a nice weekend here, and is our cheapest option on this list.
Sergio Garcia (18100/10200/11000) – It’s easy to say that Garcia disappointed a lot of people last week, but it makes sense. Coming off winning The Masters is a tough situation for anyone. Garcia is also the returning champion at this event, something that will likely increase his ownership quite a bit this weekend. Everything sets up well for him here, so I don’t hate the mentality, and I think he makes a nice option in both formats.
The One Guy Who is the Make or Break Player this Week:
Kevin Tway: I thought of going with guys like Jason Day, Brooks Koepka and Patrick Reed, all because I could see them having a good showing at perhaps lower ownership, but I am settled on Tway. The price isn’t unmanageable at all, and he has been amazing over the course of the last several events. He did have a missed cut here back in 2014, but that’s something I’m not going to hold against him. I’m expecting him to be a popular option this week, so his ability to navigate this course is likely to make or break many lineups.
Overall Top 25
1 – Dustin Johnson
2 – Tony Finau
3 – Jordan Spieth
4 – Russell Henley
5 – Graham DeLaet
6 – Sergio Garcia
7 – Sung Kang
8 – Jason Dufner
9 – Marc Leishman
10 – Hudson Swafford
11 – Matt Kuchar
12 – Louis Oosthuzien
13 – Gary Woodland
14 – Brandt Snedeker
15 – J.J. Spaun
16 – Keegan Bradley
17 – Ollie Schniederjans
18 – Bud Cauley
19 – Charley Hoffman III
20 – Kevin Tway
21 – Ryan Moore
22 – Jhonattan Vegas
23 – Byeong Hun An
24 – Xander Schauffele
25 – John Huh
Thanks for reading!